Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 2.917643 3.222788 3.552280 3.935487 4.370137 4.849229 5.419195
2025-06-29 2.436377 2.838616 3.302211 3.879636 4.584555 5.423528 6.507178
2025-07-06 2.059985 2.490468 3.009792 3.689131 4.564255 5.667307 7.184837
2025-07-13 1.874584 2.337017 2.916629 3.707142 4.773971 6.188421 8.248110
2025-07-20 1.750457 2.240762 2.876026 3.774818 5.039174 6.794193 9.487598
2025-07-27 1.653493 2.166619 2.851309 3.852507 5.315172 7.433374 10.848786
2025-08-03 1.562764 2.090323 2.812889 3.901176 5.546548 8.024085 12.207804
2025-08-10 1.476739 2.011842 2.762083 3.922692 5.733331 8.559984 13.545289
2025-08-17 1.363483 1.885313 2.630970 3.810035 5.697796 8.735153 14.293061
2025-08-24 1.280239 1.795854 2.546371 3.758889 5.750640 9.053394 15.326368
2025-08-31 1.213922 1.726468 2.485903 3.738641 5.848695 9.453307 16.559465
2025-09-07 1.185593 1.711790 2.506816 3.848813 6.173318 10.279752 18.727310
2025-09-14 1.126718 1.647782 2.448278 3.826543 6.272503 10.722463 20.229730
2025-09-21 1.068983 1.582055 2.382594 3.786755 6.336423 11.106933 21.678226
2025-09-28 0.986917 1.473138 2.240306 3.604150 6.122335 10.932028 21.883389
2025-10-05 0.951426 1.436741 2.214223 3.622091 6.282112 11.510266 23.877123
2025-10-12 0.927648 1.417764 2.215446 3.687959 6.538428 12.314103 26.549317
2025-10-19 0.907135 1.402787 2.222078 3.763490 6.820212 13.206234 29.619033
2025-10-26 0.883058 1.380354 2.214178 3.810797 7.049159 14.012692 32.641033
2025-11-02 0.856232 1.351710 2.193458 3.831708 7.224982 14.722179 35.557777
2025-11-09 0.810808 1.288873 2.108540 3.722210 7.114626 14.756372 36.586229
2025-11-16 0.777492 1.245447 2.056050 3.672492 7.128060 15.084601 38.540833
2025-11-23 0.750667 1.212110 2.020005 3.652808 7.205271 15.577018 41.103440